Bitcoin’s volatility has reached a 12-year low, signaling a newfound stability in the cryptocurrency market.
Analyst Charlie Bilello from Creative Planning highlights this dramatic change, noting a plunge in Bitcoin’s 12-month annualized volatility from 179% in January 2012 to a mere 45% in January 2024. This trend suggests a maturing market, increasingly appealing to long-term investors.
US Spot ETFs: Catalysts for Stability
The introduction of US spot Bitcoin ETFs significantly reduces Bitcoin’s price fluctuations. Experts like Alex Thorn of Galaxy Digital discuss how these ETFs transform Bitcoin’s investment landscape.
They are smoothing out volatility and shifting investor behavior towards a long-term, stability-focused approach.
James Seyffart from Bloomberg Intelligence highlights the role of portfolio rebalancing in this newfound stability.
Investment advisers maintaining set portfolio allocations actively balance Bitcoin holdings. This rebalancing act, usually done quarterly or annually, counters extreme market movements, thereby curbing Bitcoin’s historical volatility.
Moreover, Seyffart notes that advisers are likely to sell off Bitcoin assets if their value surges to avoid an outsized portfolio share. Conversely, a significant dip would trigger buying to maintain predetermined allocations.
Bitcoin is evolving from its speculative and tumultuous past into a more predictable and stable investment option. This transformation marks a significant chapter in Bitcoin’s journey from a digital curiosity to a reliable asset in mainstream finance.
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