In a youtube video posted on monday, Macro investor Raoul Pal said there is a 60% probability that Bitcoin could hit $150,000. He believes there is a 20% chance this peak comes faster than expected, followed by a decline.
In the video, Pal outlined a 20% possibility of Bitcoin undergoing a massive bubble between 2011-2013, potentially surging as high as $250,000. He conveyed this analysis in a discussion with entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano.
His comments came following the Bitcoin ETF approval, which has surprisingly preceded a price decrease. Pal attributed this to the market needing time to absorb the estimated $2 to 3 billion in new capital. He compared the ETF to a trade deal, enabling easier crypto investment.
Moreover, Pal believes a portion will prove sticky, citing units making regular investments. This shift may decrease Bitcoin’s historical volatility. Pompliano and Pal also touched on broader implications of Bitcoin’s financialization, including new leveraged products and ETF options.
While potentially attracting investors, Pal sees this as a double-edged sword. Pal stated, “Who the hell knows?” when attempting to predict Bitcoin’s future. His insights nonetheless provide a thoughtful perspective on possibilities ahead.
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