At MicroStrategy World 2024, Michael Saylor predicts the SEC will classify Ethereum as a security this summer and reject spot ETF applications, including BlackRock’s, along with similar designations for other cryptos like BNB, Solana, XRP, and Cardano.
Saylor said, “None of them will be wrapped by a spot ETF, none of them will ever be accepted by Wall Street. None of them will be accepted by mainstream institutional investors as crypto assets.”
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink argued for the possibility of a spot Ethereum ETF on the Fox Business show “The Claman Countdown,” even if the SEC classifies ETH as a security.
Saylor emphasized Bitcoin’s institutional acceptance, calling it the only universal institutional-grade crypto asset. MicroStrategy recently added $1.65 billion of BTC to its holdings and announced a Bitcoin-based decentralized identity (DID) platform.
The market’s optimism for Ethereum ETF approvals has waned, with only an 11% chance of approval as per Polymarket. The SEC’s critical decision date is May 23 for VanEck’s ETF proposal and others. The SEC may also clarify if ETH is a security, affecting its use and product approvals.
A clear ETH designation could provide certainty for companies but might impact product approvals and usage without registration. Analysts have revised Ethereum ETF approval expectations significantly downward, signaling uncertain regulatory outcomes.
The differing opinions of Michael Saylor and Larry Fink on the potential for Ethereum ETFs highlight the uncertainty and debate surrounding the regulatory landscape of cryptocurrencies.
Saylor’s prediction of Ethereum facing SEC rejection and potential classification as a security, leading to a boost in Bitcoin’s dominance, reflects concerns about regulatory hurdles and their impact on market dynamics.
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